DOST Debunks Megaquake Prediction from Japanese Manga
MANILA, Philippines — The Department of Science and Technology (DOST) has firmly denied any scientific backing for a Japanese manga’s claim that a megaquake will hit the Philippines this July. DOST Secretary Renato Solidum addressed the issue during a news forum in Quezon City, emphasizing that earthquake predictions cannot pinpoint exact timing or location.
Unlike tropical cyclones, earthquakes present a unique challenge for scientists. “There is no exact time for earthquakes,” Solidum explained. “We can only provide short-term to long-term forecasts based on fault activity, but not precise dates.” This limitation, he said, is why the public should not be alarmed by speculative claims.
Understanding Earthquake Forecasting and Preparedness
The DOST chief elaborated that scientists can identify faults that tend to move every 400 to 600 years, potentially triggering a magnitude 7.0 earthquake. However, this data only serves to estimate possible scenarios, not exact events. “Our forecasts help guide the level of preparedness required by government agencies,” Solidum noted.
He also acknowledged the likelihood of a major earthquake in the future but reiterated the impossibility of confirming when it will occur. “The fault doesn’t follow an exact timetable; it’s a range of years, not a fixed date.” He stressed, “There is no scientific basis to say it will happen in July.”
Origins of the Megaquake Rumor and Public Response
The controversy stems from a 1999 Japanese manga titled “The Future That I Saw” by Ryo Tatsuki. An excerpt from the manga states, “The real disaster will come in July 2025; the ocean floor between Japan and the Philippines will crack.” This has caused concern among some readers, especially since the manga also seemingly predicted the 2011 tsunami in Japan.
Despite these claims, experts caution against taking fictional works as literal forecasts. Local leaders and scientists urge the public to rely on verified information and continue disaster preparedness efforts based on scientific assessments.
Focus on Science and Preparedness
While the possibility of a significant earthquake remains, authorities encourage Filipinos to maintain vigilance without succumbing to unfounded fears. Solidum’s message is clear: trust science, not fiction.
For more news and updates on earthquake preparedness, visit Filipinokami.com.